Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.020563 0.022206 0.023918 0.025836 0.027927 0.030138 0.032656
2025-10-19 0.017865 0.020223 0.022811 0.025868 0.029388 0.033321 0.038062
2025-10-26 0.016046 0.018808 0.021958 0.025829 0.030474 0.035888 0.042708
2025-11-02 0.014706 0.017728 0.021284 0.025796 0.031398 0.038161 0.046995
2025-11-09 0.013437 0.016584 0.020386 0.025343 0.031678 0.039557 0.050180
2025-11-16 0.012380 0.015598 0.019575 0.024889 0.031855 0.040752 0.053093
2025-11-23 0.011636 0.014939 0.019109 0.024805 0.032451 0.042462 0.056723
2025-11-30 0.010941 0.014290 0.018598 0.024603 0.032843 0.043880 0.059994
2025-12-07 0.010353 0.013738 0.018171 0.024468 0.033287 0.045355 0.063390
2025-12-14 0.009802 0.013199 0.017722 0.024261 0.033596 0.046631 0.066541
2025-12-21 0.009395 0.012831 0.017479 0.024315 0.034255 0.048410 0.070499
2025-12-28 0.008963 0.012402 0.017125 0.024181 0.034620 0.049762 0.073876
2026-01-04 0.008613 0.012087 0.016934 0.024301 0.035408 0.051844 0.078604
2026-01-11 0.008261 0.011754 0.016702 0.024349 0.036092 0.053817 0.083311
2026-01-18 0.007915 0.011407 0.016429 0.024315 0.036639 0.055596 0.087811
2026-01-25 0.007597 0.011086 0.016173 0.024285 0.037179 0.057378 0.092413
2026-02-01 0.007200 0.010625 0.015683 0.023861 0.037064 0.058095 0.095265
2026-02-08 0.006832 0.010190 0.015210 0.023436 0.036915 0.058733 0.098002
2026-02-15 0.006575 0.009913 0.014966 0.023358 0.037318 0.060292 0.102419
2026-02-22 0.006309 0.009609 0.014665 0.023169 0.037522 0.061517 0.106309
2026-03-01 0.006074 0.009345 0.014411 0.023043 0.037817 0.062903 0.110566
2026-03-08 0.005839 0.009069 0.014127 0.022849 0.037983 0.064064 0.114468
2026-03-15 0.005670 0.008892 0.013994 0.022899 0.038567 0.065986 0.119913